Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | -7.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -9 (67-76). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 37 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 14 | - |
| A. Ray * | 34 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Mike Nardi * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Sheridan * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Fraser | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| S. Clark | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Benn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Charles | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Palacios * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. McGee * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Laudermill * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 7-12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Padgett * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Dean * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Millard | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Harvey | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter