Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.8% | 6.2% | -25.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.6% | 6.4% | -14.7 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -3 (46-49). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 38 | 8-23 | 4-13 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| W. Sheridan * | 36 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Mike Nardi * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Fraser * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Clark | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dwayne Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Charles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Buckley * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 40 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25 | - |
| M. Mattis * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Holmes * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | - |
| C. Dennis * | 27 | 0-13 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5 | - |
| C. Capko | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Richardson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter