Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.4 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jefferson | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| M. Sumter | 31 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| C. Morgan | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Barrett | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Butler | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Williams | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Smith | 17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Giles | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Pistoljevic | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Rowe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Holmes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nardi | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Ray | 31 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| R. Foye | 30 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 7-13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - |
| W. Sheridan | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| B. Benn | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Anderson | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Fraser | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Charles | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Lowry | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| F. Tchuisi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Dunleavy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter