Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | +21.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +13 (58-45). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Alston * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Azzarelli * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| C. Kenny * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Hallett * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Delic | 31 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Bunch | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Shipman | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Whitney Coleman | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Nunner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Bazaz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 36 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| W. Sheridan * | 32 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Ray * | 30 | 6-15 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Mike Nardi * | 23 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| S. Clark | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| C. Charles | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Fraser | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwayne Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Benn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Dunleavy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter