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Villanova

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History
Coach: Jay Wright

2021 Team Stats (19 games)

74.2
PPG
66.4
Opp
+7.8
Margin
44.8%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
77.5%
FT%
33.2
RPG
15.8
APG
9.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.7
Adj PPG
61.3
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1355 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1232 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 1084 (#60) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → +17.5 (#11) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +16.5 (#17) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.794 (#30) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.2 More → 0.928 (#17) AdjNet +22.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.4 More → 0.930 (#17) AdjNet +22.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 61.3 More → 0.802 (#12) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 61.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.709 (#18) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 62.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.823 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 25 More → 1218 (#32) RD 108 | GP 25

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 @ Boston College Eagles W 76 - 67
2020-11-26 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 83 - 74
2020-11-28 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 73 - 81
2020-12-01 @ Hartford Hawks W 87 - 53
2020-12-02 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks - Postponed
2020-12-03 vs Temple Owls - Preview
2020-12-06 @ Texas Longhorns W 68 - 64
2020-12-11 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 76 - 63
2020-12-14 vs DePaul Blue Demons - Postponed
2020-12-16 vs Butler Bulldogs W 85 - 66
2020-12-19 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 88 - 68
2020-12-23 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 85 - 68
2020-12-30 vs St. John's Red Storm - Postponed
2021-01-02 @ Xavier Musketeers - Preview
2021-01-05 @ DePaul Blue Demons - Preview
2021-01-08 vs Marquette Golden Eagles - Postponed
2021-01-13 @ Xavier Musketeers - Preview
2021-01-15 @ UConn Huskies - Preview
2021-01-19 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 76 - 74
2021-01-23 vs Providence Friars W 71 - 56
2021-01-28 @ UConn Huskies - Preview
2021-01-30 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 80 - 72
2021-02-03 @ St. John's Red Storm L 59 - 70
2021-02-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 84 - 74
2021-02-09 vs DePaul Blue Demons - Preview
2021-02-10 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 96 - 64
2021-02-13 @ Creighton Bluejays L 70 - 86
2021-02-20 vs UConn Huskies W 68 - 60
2021-02-23 vs St. John's Red Storm W 81 - 58
2021-02-28 @ Butler Bulldogs L 61 - 73
2021-03-03 vs Creighton Bluejays W 72 - 60
2021-03-06 @ Providence Friars L 52 - 54
2021-03-11 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 71 - 72
2021-03-19 vs Winthrop Eagles W 73 - 63
2021-03-21 vs North Texas Mean Green W 84 - 61
2021-03-27 @ Baylor Bears L 51 - 62

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl Jeremiah Robinson-Earl - 20 34.3 15.6 8.3 2.4 1.1 0.6 1.4 12.3 14.2 187 25 7.5 8.8 48.6 30.0 70.8 3.95 56.0 52.8
Collin Gillespie Collin Gillespie - 15 32.5 13.7 3.3 4.7 0.8 0.0 1.8 10.0 10.7 159 20 8.0 9.7 44.0 37.8 86.0 0.8 59.9 54.3
Jermaine Samuels Jermaine Samuels - 20 29.7 13.4 6.2 2.6 0.7 0.2 1.2 8.9 12.9 132 25 5.3 7.3 49.2 39.3 87.2 1.89 62.8 55.9
Justin Moore Justin Moore - 25 32.8 12.9 4.1 3.0 0.6 0.4 1.5 8.8 10.6 123 25 4.9 6.2 43.9 29.3 77.8 0.13 68.0 50.5
Caleb Daniels Caleb Daniels - 25 25.8 9.6 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.6 6.0 5.7 156 25 6.2 9.8 37.7 37.6 78.6 3.31 70.8 49.3
Cole Swider Cole Swider - 20 18.7 5.2 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.4 4.0 5.1 128 25 5.1 11.0 42.0 40.6 90.0 2.97 60.3 58.0
Brandon Slater Brandon Slater - 25 16.8 3.8 2.2 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.4 2.3 4.7 7 25 0.3 0.7 46.6 33.3 60.7 -3.28 66.8 52.6
Eric Dixon Eric Dixon - 21 8.2 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.4 3.5 18 21 0.9 4.2 46.7 33.3 62.1 -0.81 74.8 50.0
Bryan Antoine Bryan Antoine - 10 11.8 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.1 1.7 2.9 7 10 0.7 2.5 41.2 38.5 80.0 -0.35 59.9 55.9
Arcidiacono, Chris Arcidiacono, Chris - 13 8.5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 26 13 2.0 9.6 27.3 27.3 60.0 1.08 45.5 40.9
Trey Patterson Trey Patterson - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.44 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG