Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hamlet * | 39 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Z. Simmons * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Reese V * | 37 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -4 | - |
| T. Bell * | 37 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. McBride * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| JJ Murray | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ousmane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lewis II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mykell Robinson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Antoine | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Justin Moore * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Caleb Daniels * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono * | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cole Swider | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Dixon | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Trey Patterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter