Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +8 (68-60). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bouknight * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Tyrese Martin * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| R.J. Cole * | 25 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Whaley * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adama Sanogo * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Polley | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Gaffney | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Jackson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Akok Akok | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Justin Moore * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Caleb Daniels * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Swider | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter