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2021-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread
Elo 53.2% (#18) 46.8% (#39) -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% (#20) 47.1% (#54) -
Margin 49.5% (#11) 50.5% (#21) UConn Huskies -0.1
Pythagorean 47.7% (#30) 52.3% (#37) -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% (#17) 43.9% (#29) -
Log Adjusted 56.2% (#17) 43.8% (#29) -
Points Off/Def 47.3% (#12) 52.7% (#23) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Villanova Wildcats UConn Huskies
Games 19 8
PPG 74.2 66.8
FG% 44.8% 37.5%
3PT% 35.4% 28.0%
FT% 77.5% 68.9%
RPG 33.2 38.5
APG 15.8 11.8
SPG 5.6 7.4
BPG 1.4 4.8
TOPG 9.3 11.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Villanova Wildcats UConn Huskies
Adj. Off Eff 111.1 109.9
Adj. Def Eff 88.9 90.1
Adj. Net Eff 22.2 19.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Villanova Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
J. Robinson-Earl 15.6 8.4 2.4 1.1 0.6 34.3
J. Moore 12.9 4.1 3.0 0.6 0.4 32.8
C. Gillespie 13.7 3.3 4.7 0.8 0.0 32.5
J. Samuels Jr. 13.4 6.2 2.6 0.7 0.3 29.7
C. Daniels 9.6 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 25.8

UConn Huskies Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
T. Martin 11.7 7.7 0.9 1.3 0.7 32.5
J. Bouknight 19.7 6.0 2.2 1.0 0.2 32.3
R.J. Cole 12.4 3.3 4.3 1.1 0.0 31.9
I. Whaley 7.6 6.2 1.9 1.2 3.0 30.1
B. Adams 5.1 3.3 2.0 0.9 0.0 26.6