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VCU

Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History

2019 Team Stats (2 games)

63.5
PPG
63.0
Opp
+0.5
Margin
42.5%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
11.5
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.0
Adj PPG
60.4
Adj Opp PPG
#45
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1215 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1103 (#44) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +11.2 (#46) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +10.7 (#43) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.828 (#19) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.1 More โ†’ 0.890 (#41) AdjNet +18.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.3 More โ†’ 0.892 (#41) AdjNet +18.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 60.4 More โ†’ 0.725 (#45) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 62.4 More โ†’ 0.684 (#31) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 62.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.795 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.788 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1241 (#31) RD 115 | GP 33

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 69 - 57
2018-11-09 vs Hampton Pirates W 69 - 57
2018-11-12 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 72 - 61
2018-11-19 vs Temple Owls W 57 - 51
2018-11-20 vs St. John's Red Storm L 86 - 87
2018-11-24 vs Hofstra Pride W 69 - 67
2018-11-28 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 52 - 62
2018-12-01 vs Iona Gaels W 88 - 59
2018-12-05 @ Texas Longhorns W 54 - 53
2018-12-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 49 - 57
2018-12-15 vs Charleston Cougars L 79 - 83
2018-12-22 vs Wichita State Shockers W 70 - 54
2018-12-30 vs Rider Broncs W 90 - 79
2019-01-05 @ Fordham Rams W 76 - 51
2019-01-09 vs La Salle Explorers W 69 - 63
2019-01-12 @ Davidson Wildcats L 57 - 64
2019-01-16 vs Dayton Flyers W 76 - 71
2019-01-19 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 68 - 50
2019-01-23 @ Rhode Island Rams L 65 - 71
2019-01-26 @ Duquesne Dukes W 80 - 74
2019-02-02 vs George Mason Patriots W 79 - 63
2019-02-06 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 60 - 50
2019-02-09 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 85 - 55
2019-02-13 vs Richmond Spiders W 81 - 60
2019-02-16 @ Dayton Flyers W 69 - 68
2019-02-19 vs Rhode Island Rams W 76 - 42
2019-02-23 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 85 - 57
2019-02-26 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 71 - 65
2019-03-02 @ Richmond Spiders W 69 - 66
2019-03-05 @ George Mason Patriots W 71 - 36
2019-03-08 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 75 - 63
2019-03-15 vs Rhode Island Rams L 70 - 75
2019-03-22 vs UCF Knights L 58 - 73

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Evans Marcus Evans G 29 27.1 13.7 3.2 3.3 2.0 0.1 2.7 2.3 17.3 168 26 6.5 9.8 44.1 30.0 80.0 1.89 244.5 50.7
De'Riante Jenkins De'Riante Jenkins G 28 27.6 11.6 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.5 1.7 3.0 14.4 153 25 6.1 8.9 37.3 28.3 75.0 -0.07 187.8 45.2
Issac Vann Issac Vann F 29 27.0 10.1 3.2 2.0 1.1 0.2 1.5 2.2 13.0 130 26 5.0 7.5 40.6 33.3 84.6 0.25 210.1 46.1
Marcus Santos-Silva Marcus Santos-Silva - 27 21.7 9.8 6.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.4 16.7 - - - - 69.2 0 70.0 - 305.3 69.2
Vince Williams Jr. Vince Williams Jr. - 29 15.9 5.2 3.4 1.1 1.1 0.4 1.5 1.1 8.6 85 26 3.3 9.6 48.4 50.0 64.7 2.84 194.9 54.8
Mike'l Simms Mike'l Simms G 29 15.7 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.2 5.3 58 26 2.2 6.2 20.0 13.6 75.0 1.12 170.0 24.3
Sean Mobley Sean Mobley F 26 19.9 4.2 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.2 7.0 120 25 4.8 9.7 36.7 31.2 60.0 2.43 157.0 45.0
Corey Douglas Corey Douglas F 29 14.0 3.7 3.6 0.3 0.3 1.6 0.8 0.7 8.0 58 26 2.2 7.1 47.4 0.0 50.0 0.8 257.7 47.4
Malik Crowfield Malik Crowfield G 29 14.4 3.5 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.3 78 26 3.0 8.9 44.0 40.0 66.7 0.51 191.9 60.0
Michael Gilmore Michael Gilmore F 29 7.2 2.9 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.5 4.5 -7 25 -0.3 -1.7 60.0 33.3 0 -2.8 276.7 66.7
KeShawn Curry KeShawn Curry G 14 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 2.4 -11 11 -1.0 -7.6 60.0 0.0 0 -4.38 320.0 60.0
Dylan Sheehy-Guiseppi Dylan Sheehy-Guiseppi - 6 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Xavier Jackson Xavier Jackson G 7 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 -5 5 -1.0 -26.3 0.0 0.0 0 -1.61 0.0 0.0
P.J. Byrd P.J. Byrd - 4 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 -0.8 9 26 0.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0 -1.99 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG