VCU
2019 Team Stats (2 games)
63.5
PPG
63.0
Opp
+0.5
Margin
42.5%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
11.5
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.0
Adj PPG
60.4
Adj Opp PPG
#45
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1215 (#39) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1103 (#44) | HCA +83 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +11.2 (#46) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.7 (#43) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.828 (#19) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.890 (#41) | AdjNet +18.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.892 (#41) | AdjNet +18.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.725 (#45) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.684 (#31) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.795 (#33) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.788 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1241 (#31) | RD 115 | GP 33 |
2019 Schedule & Results
2019 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marcus Evans
|
G | 29 | 27.1 | 13.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 17.3 | 168 | 26 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 44.1 | 30.0 | 80.0 | 1.89 | 244.5 | 50.7 |
De'Riante Jenkins
|
G | 28 | 27.6 | 11.6 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 14.4 | 153 | 25 | 6.1 | 8.9 | 37.3 | 28.3 | 75.0 | -0.07 | 187.8 | 45.2 |
Issac Vann
|
F | 29 | 27.0 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 13.0 | 130 | 26 | 5.0 | 7.5 | 40.6 | 33.3 | 84.6 | 0.25 | 210.1 | 46.1 |
Marcus Santos-Silva
|
- | 27 | 21.7 | 9.8 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 16.7 | - | - | - | - | 69.2 | 0 | 70.0 | - | 305.3 | 69.2 |
Vince Williams Jr.
|
- | 29 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 85 | 26 | 3.3 | 9.6 | 48.4 | 50.0 | 64.7 | 2.84 | 194.9 | 54.8 |
Mike'l Simms
|
G | 29 | 15.7 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 58 | 26 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 20.0 | 13.6 | 75.0 | 1.12 | 170.0 | 24.3 |
Sean Mobley
|
F | 26 | 19.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 120 | 25 | 4.8 | 9.7 | 36.7 | 31.2 | 60.0 | 2.43 | 157.0 | 45.0 |
Corey Douglas
|
F | 29 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8.0 | 58 | 26 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.8 | 257.7 | 47.4 |
Malik Crowfield
|
G | 29 | 14.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 78 | 26 | 3.0 | 8.9 | 44.0 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0.51 | 191.9 | 60.0 |
Michael Gilmore
|
F | 29 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 4.5 | -7 | 25 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.8 | 276.7 | 66.7 |
KeShawn Curry
|
G | 14 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.4 | -11 | 11 | -1.0 | -7.6 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.38 | 320.0 | 60.0 |
Dylan Sheehy-Guiseppi
|
- | 6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Xavier Jackson
|
G | 7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -5 | 5 | -1.0 | -26.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
P.J. Byrd
|
- | 4 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.8 | 9 | 26 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.99 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG