Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Frye * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Antwon Lillard * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Justin Turner * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Michael Laster | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Fields | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marlon Sierra | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tayler Mattos | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joniya Gadson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Good | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Malik Crowfield * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Corey Douglas * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| V. Williams Jr. | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Evans | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Xavier Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| KeShawn Curry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter