Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +11 (90-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimar Williams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Frederick Scott * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Allen * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Durham * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Tyere Marshall * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Stevie Jordan | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Ajiri Ogemuno-Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Ahmad Gilbert | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Devine Eke | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Karamoko Cisse | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Evans * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 22 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Corey Douglas * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Sean Mobley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| V. Williams Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| KeShawn Curry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter