Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✗ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Evans * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Sean Mobley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Corey Douglas | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| V. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Crutcher * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Obi Toppin * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dwayne Cohill | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter