Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.4% | 17.6% | -8.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -6 (74-80). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Evans * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva * | 26 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Sean Mobley * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| V. Williams | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Corey Douglas | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Hughes * | 33 | 5-16 | 4-12 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Weathers * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Michael Hughes * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Wade * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tavian Dunn-Martin | 35 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 7-10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Gavin Bizeau | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Amari Kelly | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lamar Norman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter