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VCU

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History
Coach: Mike Rhoades

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

72.0
PPG
74.0
Opp
-2.0
Margin
44.1%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
35.5
RPG
15.0
APG
10.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.6
Adj PPG
73.3
Adj Opp PPG
#130
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1114 (#107) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1042 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 993 (#186) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +2.7 (#130) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +1.3 (#148) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.543 (#142) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.0 More → 0.641 (#121) AdjNet +5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.1 More → 0.643 (#120) AdjNet +5.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.553 (#130) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 73.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.498 (#173) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.566 (#134) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.555 (#142) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 126 | GP 33 More → 1054 (#130) RD 126 | GP 33

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Grambling Tigers W 94 - 65
2017-11-13 vs North Florida Ospreys W 95 - 85
2017-11-17 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 67 - 76
2017-11-20 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 83 - 94
2017-11-21 @ California Golden Bears W 83 - 69
2017-11-22 @ Michigan Wolverines L 60 - 68
2017-11-28 vs App State Mountaineers W 85 - 72
2017-12-02 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 82 - 75
2017-12-05 vs Texas Longhorns L 67 - 71
2017-12-09 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 67 - 90
2017-12-16 vs Bucknell Bison W 85 - 79
2017-12-19 vs Winthrop Eagles W 69 - 55
2017-12-22 vs VMI Keydets W 75 - 65
2017-12-30 vs Fordham Rams W 76 - 63
2018-01-03 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 81 - 87
2018-01-06 @ La Salle Explorers W 80 - 74
2018-01-09 vs Duquesne Dukes W 78 - 67
2018-01-12 @ Dayton Flyers L 79 - 106
2018-01-17 vs Richmond Spiders L 52 - 67
2018-01-20 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 87 - 63
2018-01-23 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 75 - 74
2018-01-27 @ George Mason Patriots W 84 - 76
2018-02-02 vs Rhode Island Rams L 68 - 81
2018-02-07 @ Richmond Spiders L 76 - 77
2018-02-10 vs Dayton Flyers W 88 - 84
2018-02-14 vs Davidson Wildcats L 63 - 74
2018-02-17 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 56 - 80
2018-02-21 @ Massachusetts Minutemen W 82 - 78
2018-02-24 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 63 - 68
2018-02-28 vs George Mason Patriots L 80 - 81
2018-03-03 @ Fordham Rams W 83 - 58
2018-03-08 vs Dayton Flyers W 77 - 72
2018-03-09 @ Rhode Island Rams L 67 - 76

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Tillman Justin Tillman F 30 30.5 18.9 9.7 0.4 0.3 1.1 1.7 4.2 24.5 -59 27 -2.2 -3.4 50.4 20.8 75.5 -3.68 190.8 52.4
De'Riante Jenkins De'Riante Jenkins G 30 29.5 13.1 3.6 2.4 1.4 0.2 2.3 2.9 15.4 20 27 0.7 1.2 47.1 44.4 70.8 2.64 200.9 60.9
Issac Vann Issac Vann F 23 25.8 9.4 3.7 1.4 1.0 0.3 1.5 2.6 11.9 -28 21 -1.3 -2.3 48.3 21.4 72.7 -0.74 166.6 53.3
Jonathan Williams Jonathan Williams G 29 29.0 8.7 2.4 5.8 1.2 0.1 2.2 2.0 14.0 26 26 1.0 1.6 44.1 30.0 64.3 0.91 176.0 46.6
Khris Lane Khris Lane F 30 14.9 7.3 4.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.5 9.7 -5 27 -0.2 -0.7 47.7 62.5 72.2 -0.61 210.9 53.4
Mike'l Simms Mike'l Simms G 30 17.3 5.7 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.0 0.9 1.9 6.9 11 27 0.4 1.1 45.6 38.9 71.4 0.31 143.1 57.9
Malik Crowfield Malik Crowfield G 26 23.3 5.5 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.9 1.1 7.4 -14 24 -0.6 -1.1 25.0 24.0 75.0 -0.47 241.9 35.7
Sean Mobley Sean Mobley F 30 17.4 4.6 2.8 1.8 0.4 0.1 1.2 1.3 7.2 65 27 2.4 6.3 40.0 40.0 100.0 2.35 163.5 52.5
Marcus Santos-Silva Marcus Santos-Silva - 30 9.6 3.0 3.0 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 5.5 - - - - 52.6 0 66.7 - 223.9 52.6
Xavier Jackson Xavier Jackson G 17 9.2 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.6 42 16 2.6 14.3 20.0 33.3 0 3.94 250.0 30.0
Tyler Maye Tyler Maye G 29 7.2 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 1.8 -26 26 -1.0 -5.7 30.0 25.0 66.7 -4.05 167.8 35.0
Dylan Sheehy-Guiseppi Dylan Sheehy-Guiseppi - 4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lewis Djonkam Lewis Djonkam - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 10 16 0.6 7.1 0.0 0 0 -0.89 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG