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2018-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 49.1% 50.9% +0.2 (4.8 off)

Actual: VCU Rams +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Landers * 38 7-13 0-2 5-5 10 0 0 0 1 19 15 -
J. Davis * 35 3-10 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 2 -
J. Crutcher * 34 3-13 1-7 0-0 8 7 0 0 2 7 7 -
J. Cunningham * 33 7-11 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 0 3 17 15 -
D. Davis * 31 4-9 2-4 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 14 9 -
K. Antetokounmpo 24 3-7 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 2 0 7 4 -
M. Svoboda 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tillman * 36 5-12 0-3 5-7 10 0 0 3 1 15 15 -
J. Williams * 30 5-6 1-1 3-6 4 5 1 1 0 14 19 -
I. Vann * 27 4-10 1-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 10 3 -
D. Jenkins * 26 3-10 3-8 2-4 3 5 0 0 2 11 7 -
S. Mobley * 20 5-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
M. Crowfield 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
M. Simms 20 3-6 1-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
M. Santos-Silva 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
K. Lane 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Maye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter