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2017-11-21

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.7% 33.3% - โœ“
Margin 68.9% 31.1% -4.4 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.0% 20.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“

Actual: California Golden Bears -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Riante Jenkins * 32 11-15 5-8 0-0 11 0 1 1 0 27 25 -
Justin Tillman * 30 4-10 0-1 1-1 8 0 1 2 2 9 8 -
Jonathan Williams * 28 3-6 0-1 3-5 1 8 3 0 6 9 9 -
Malik Crowfield * 27 3-8 2-7 0-0 0 3 1 1 1 8 4 -
Khris Lane * 11 2-4 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
Sean Mobley 19 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
Mike'l Simms 12 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 1 -
Tyler Maye 11 2-4 1-2 2-3 0 0 0 0 3 7 0 -
Marcus Santos-Silva 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 0 6 -
Xavier Jackson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Don Coleman * 30 8-16 1-4 4-6 1 0 3 0 3 21 6 -
Marcus Lee * 29 5-12 0-0 1-2 12 0 0 3 6 11 8 -
Kingsley Okoroh * 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 2 6 4 -
Justice Sueing * 25 2-5 1-3 6-8 3 2 2 0 0 11 13 -
Darius McNeill * 23 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 10 6 -
Nick Hamilton 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
Grant Anticevich 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 0 6 -
Juhwan Harris-Dyson 13 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
Deschon Winston 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 -1 -
Roman Davis 4 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter