Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.3% | 5.7% | -15.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 33 | - |
| T. Jerome * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Salt * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| M. Diakite | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Huff | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hunter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Tillman * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Jonathan Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Malik Crowfield * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Khris Lane * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Issac Vann | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sean Mobley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Maye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter