Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +27 (106-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Djonkam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Jenkins * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. Tillman * | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| J. Williams * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Crowfield * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Vann * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Mobley | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Simms | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Santos-Silva | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Maye | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Lane | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| X. Jackson | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crutcher * | 34 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | - |
| T. Landers * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Davis * | 31 | 9-10 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 30 | - |
| J. Cunningham * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Davis * | 28 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| J. Crosby | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| X. Williams | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Svoboda | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Westerfield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gruden | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Greer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter