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Utah State

Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

64.0
PPG
66.0
Opp
-2.0
Margin
48.2%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
31.0
RPG
9.0
APG
9.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.5
Adj PPG
62.6
Adj Opp PPG
#115
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1167 (#86) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1049 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1071 (#78) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +4.0 (#115) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.1 (#86) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.717 (#67) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.9 More โ†’ 0.688 (#113) AdjNet +6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.9 More โ†’ 0.689 (#113) AdjNet +6.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 62.6 More โ†’ 0.587 (#115) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 62.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 63.4 More โ†’ 0.620 (#71) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 63.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.645 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.651 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1098 (#110) RD 91 | GP 32

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs BYU Cougars W 69 - 62
2011-11-15 @ Weber State Wildcats L 63 - 73
2011-11-19 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 65 - 62
2011-11-22 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 55 - 58
2011-11-26 @ Idaho State Bengals W 75 - 62
2011-11-30 vs Denver Pioneers L 54 - 67
2011-12-03 @ Pacific Tigers L 57 - 65
2011-12-06 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 63 - 54
2011-12-10 @ Wichita State Shockers L 76 - 83
2011-12-17 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 78 - 53
2011-12-20 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 73 - 69
2011-12-21 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 72 - 47
2011-12-22 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 81 - 62
2011-12-31 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 64 - 66
2012-01-05 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 72 - 53
2012-01-07 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 71 - 78
2012-01-14 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 69 - 65
2012-01-19 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 66 - 73
2012-01-26 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 77 - 72
2012-01-28 vs San Josรฉ State Spartans W 82 - 65
2012-02-04 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 54 - 60
2012-02-09 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 77 - 63
2012-02-14 vs Montana Tech Orediggers W 70 - 58
2012-02-18 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 64 - 72
2012-02-24 vs Idaho Vandals W 67 - 50
2012-03-01 @ San Josรฉ State Spartans W 71 - 61
2012-03-03 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 61 - 60
2012-03-08 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 70 - 72
2012-03-14 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 75 - 69
2012-03-17 vs Idaho Vandals W 76 - 56
2012-03-21 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 77 - 69
2012-03-25 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 105 - 81
2012-03-28 vs Mercer Bears L 67 - 70

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Preston Medlin Preston Medlin G 33 35.0 17.3 4.5 3.5 0.7 0.1 2.0 3.2 20.9 170 33 5.2 6.3 50.0 41.8 74.3 3.43 235.2 60.8
Brockeith Pane Brockeith Pane G 33 32.0 13.0 2.9 4.3 0.8 0.2 2.7 2.9 15.5 84 33 2.5 3.4 41.7 40.9 82.8 0.49 197.2 46.4
Kyisean Reed Kyisean Reed F 32 24.5 10.0 5.0 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.8 14.1 80 32 2.5 4.2 62.1 0 67.7 1.76 222.6 62.1
Morgan Grim Morgan Grim F 33 27.8 9.3 6.3 1.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.6 14.5 41 33 1.2 1.9 53.8 0 62.1 -3.11 237.0 53.8
Brady Jardine Brady Jardine F 3 24.3 7.7 7.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.7 0.0 14.3 - - - - 0 0 0 1.22 0 0
Danny Berger Danny Berger F 27 25.9 6.6 3.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 1.1 1.4 10.3 63 28 2.2 3.7 41.0 38.5 80.0 -0.72 205.1 53.8
Ben Clifford Ben Clifford F 32 17.0 4.4 3.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 7.2 134 32 4.2 10.8 50.0 42.9 87.5 3.17 177.1 54.2
Mitch Bruneel Mitch Bruneel F 32 15.0 4.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.7 5.7 41 32 1.3 3.6 56.5 25.0 50.0 -2.06 280.7 60.9
E.J. Farris E.J. Farris G 29 9.4 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.9 3.5 69 29 2.4 11.2 48.1 30.0 83.3 1.64 135.0 53.7
Steven Thornton Steven Thornton - 7 14.0 2.7 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.0 3.9 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Stone Jordan Stone C 31 9.4 2.1 2.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 4.4 28 29 1.0 4.2 50.0 0 77.8 -0.36 275.9 50.0
Adam Thoseby Adam Thoseby G 27 8.0 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 1.9 -51 26 -2.0 -11.7 0.0 0.0 0 -5.26 238.9 0.0
Igor Premasunac Igor Premasunac - 12 3.1 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG