Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -4 (65-69). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Medlin * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Brockeith Pane * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Morgan Grim * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kyisean Reed * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Danny Berger * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Ben Clifford | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mitch Bruneel | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E.J. Farris | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Igor Premasunac | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Stone | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Adam Thoseby | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Gaskins * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Gibson * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Raheem Appleby * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. McNeail * | 28 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Michale Kyser * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Speedy Smith | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J.L. Lewis | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cordarius Johnson | 13 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Lonnie Smith | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Romario Souza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter