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2012-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% -
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 (14.6 off)

Actual: Utah State Aggies -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hall * 36 5-14 1-6 5-6 6 4 2 0 2 16 12 -
J. Gollon * 35 2-5 1-2 4-4 4 4 1 0 1 9 12 -
B. Thomas * 32 4-4 1-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 10 10 -
J. Cecil * 27 1-9 0-6 4-5 6 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Coursey * 15 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
T. Smith 30 6-12 3-4 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 17 8 -
M. Brown 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
P. Larsen 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
C. Smith 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Hallice 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Canevari 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Medlin * 40 4-10 2-8 4-5 5 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
D. Berger * 34 5-8 3-5 0-0 6 4 0 1 1 13 15 -
M. Grim * 32 2-5 0-0 5-8 6 1 0 0 1 9 10 -
B. Pane * 32 3-10 2-5 2-4 1 5 0 0 2 10 4 -
K. Reed * 22 6-8 0-0 3-3 7 2 0 0 2 15 14 -
B. Clifford 19 1-4 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
E.J. Farris 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Stone 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Bruneel 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter