Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -8 (64-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Nunnally * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 36 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Jaime Serna * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T.J. Taylor * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Alan Williams * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nate Garth | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Christian Peterson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Greg Somogyi | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Medlin * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Brockeith Pane * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Danny Berger * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Kyisean Reed * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Morgan Grim * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Stone | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Mitch Bruneel | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ben Clifford | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E.J. Farris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Adam Thoseby | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter