Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Pane * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Berger * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Medlin * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Grim * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Reed * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Clifford | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| E.J. Farris | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Bruneel | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Stone | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Thoseby | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hood * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| A. Moultrie * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Bost * | 32 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| R. Sidney * | 23 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Steele * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Bryant | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Lewis | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
* = starter