USC2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1321 (#40) | Preseason prior 1299 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1147, returning +75, transfers +77, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1215 (#38) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1211 (#38) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +45.6 (#3) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +45.7 (#3) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.993 (#12) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.972 (#9) | AdjNet +57.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.973 (#9) | AdjNet +55.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.939 (#5) | AdjO 91.3 | AdjD 53.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.938 (#5) | AdjO 91.3 | AdjD 53.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.954 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.954 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1242 (#37) | RD 184 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.937 (#23) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | UNLV Lady Rebels | W | 100 - 68 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Utah State Aggies | W | 118 - 40 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Charleston Cougars | W | 105 - 44 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | South Carolina Gamecocks | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Baylor Bears | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JuJu Watkins
|
G | 3 | 24.7 | 24.3 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 134 | 3 | 44.7 | 71.9 | 48.1 | 33.3 | 88.2 | 6.13 | 59.4 | 53.7 |
Saniyah Hall
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 22.0 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 18.7 | 134 | 3 | 44.7 | 75.8 | 61.5 | 46.7 | 68.8 | 7.56 | 71.7 | 70.5 |
Jazzy Davidson
|
G | 3 | 27.3 | 19.7 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 12.3 | 17.7 | 118 | 3 | 39.3 | 57.6 | 64.9 | 62.5 | 66.7 | 4.3 | 72.0 | 71.6 |
Kennedy Smith
|
G | 3 | 24.0 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 9.0 | 113 | 3 | 37.7 | 62.8 | 57.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 7.01 | 65.4 | 68.4 |
Sitaya Fagan
|
F | 3 | 17.7 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 53 | 3 | 17.7 | 40.4 | 40.0 | 11.1 | 20.0 | 0.06 | 40.4 | 42.0 |
Sara Okeke
|
F | 3 | 20.7 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 8.3 | 87 | 3 | 29.0 | 56.2 | 90.0 | - | 50.0 | 0.71 | 85.0 | 90.0 |
Laura Williams
|
F | 3 | 14.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | 76.4 | 79.2 |
Ryann Bennett
|
G | 3 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 9.3 | 88 | 3 | 29.3 | 61.1 | 54.5 | 42.9 | 75.0 | 3.13 | 70.5 | 68.2 |
Pania Davis
|
C | 3 | 15.3 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 7.3 | 67 | 3 | 22.3 | 57.9 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.57 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
Rian Forestier
|
G | 3 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 37.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.06 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
Brooklyn Shamblin
|
G | 3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -14.4 | - | - | - | -1.66 | - | - |
Alesia Talkouskaya
|
G | 3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 11.7 | 0.0 | - | - | -0.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former USC players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last USC game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
1 player-league average(s) withheld while source season, phase, finality or game identity remains unresolved.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki Iriafen | 2024-25 | WNBA | Washington Mystics | 41 | 28.1 | 15.3 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 09-30 15 pts, 16 reb, 3 ast Playoffs | no games |
| Kara Dunn | 2025-26 | WNBA | Phoenix Mercury | 4 | 15.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 09-21 11 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | no games |
| Temi Fagbenle | 2015-16 | WNBA | Toronto Tempo | 25 | 17.8 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 09-20 4 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast | no games |
| Amy Okonkwo | 2014-15 | WNBA | Portland Fire (2 teams) | 5 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 09-17 9 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | no games |
| Alissa Pili | 2019-22 | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | 5 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 08-18 0 pts, 4 reb, 2 ast | no games |
| Rayah Marshall | 2021-25 | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | 5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 09-22 2 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast | no games |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
2026-2027 Shot Zones
225 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
JuJu WatkinsSaniyah HallJazzy DavidsonRyann BennettPania Davis
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 52-69 | 75.4 | 104 | JuJu Watkins 19% (20 pts) | Jazzy Davidson 15% (16 pts) | JuJu Watkins 29% (5 misses) | Sitaya Fagan 24% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 35-55 | 63.6 | 70 | Saniyah Hall 26% (18 pts) | Jazzy Davidson 20% (14 pts) | JuJu Watkins 30% (6 misses) | Jazzy Davidson 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 6-10 | 60.0 | 12 | Jazzy Davidson 33% (4 pts) | Saniyah Hall 33% (4 pts) | Jazzy Davidson 25% (1 misses) | JuJu Watkins 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-10 | 30.0 | 6 | Jazzy Davidson 67% (4 pts) | Sitaya Fagan 33% (2 pts) | Jazzy Davidson 29% (2 misses) | JuJu Watkins 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-9 | 44.4 | 8 | JuJu Watkins 50% (4 pts) | Kennedy Smith 25% (2 pts) | JuJu Watkins 40% (2 misses) | Alesia Talkouskaya 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | Ryann Bennett 67% (6 pts) | JuJu Watkins 33% (3 pts) | Pania Davis 50% (1 misses) | Sitaya Fagan 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-4 | 100.0 | 12 | Jazzy Davidson 50% (6 pts) | JuJu Watkins 25% (3 pts) | - | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 11-31 | 35.5 | 33 | Saniyah Hall 36% (12 pts) | JuJu Watkins 27% (9 pts) | Saniyah Hall 20% (4 misses) | Sitaya Fagan 20% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | JuJu Watkins 33% (3 pts) | Kennedy Smith 33% (3 pts) | JuJu Watkins 29% (2 misses) | Saniyah Hall 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Saniyah Hall 50% (9 pts) | Jazzy Davidson 33% (6 pts) | JuJu Watkins 44% (7 misses) | Ryann Bennett 12% (2 misses) |