Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.5% | 29.5% | -4.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (87-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Shepard * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Paige Bueckers * | 33 | 12-22 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Awak Kuier * | 28 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maddy Siegrist * | 19 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Odyssey Sims | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Li Yueru | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kitija Laksa | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aziaha James | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alysha Clark | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 33 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kara Dunn | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb | 15 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shay Ciezki | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maddy Westbeld | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marta Suarez | 10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter