Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Valkyries | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -10.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -25 (64-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Thornton * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.9 |
| Veronica Burton * | 19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +19.1 |
| Gabby Williams * | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Kiah Stokes * | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Cecilia Zandalasini * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +7.4 |
| Kaitlyn Chen | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +15.2 |
| Kaila Charles | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | +18.5 |
| Janelle Salaun | 18 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +14.1 |
| Laeticia Amihere | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Juste Jocyte | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Ashten Prechtel | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Nadia Fingall | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Miela Sowah | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -10.8 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +6.1 |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Edwards * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -18.0 |
| Diamond Miller * | 22 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Kennedy Burke * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Saniya Rivers * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -16.9 |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker * | 16 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | -0.8 |
| Nell Angloma | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -12.7 |
| Hailey Van Lith | 20 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Ashlon Jackson | 18 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | -5.6 |
| Gianna Kneepkens | 15 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.6 |
| Rayah Marshall | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Raegan Beers | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.3 |
* = starter