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USC

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: USC Trojans, USC
Program History
Coach: Andy Enfield

2024 Team Stats (33 games)

74.1
PPG
74.3
Opp
-0.2
Margin
45.1%
FG%
35.5%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
34.0
RPG
15.6
APG
12.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.6
Adj PPG
68.4
Adj Opp PPG
#81
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1141 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More → 1028 (#139) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +8.3 (#77) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More → +9.4 (#60) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.493 (#178) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.5 More → 0.790 (#80) AdjNet +11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.7 More → 0.794 (#79) AdjNet +11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.658 (#81) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.580 (#102) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.683 (#86) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.668 (#88) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 33 More → 1078 (#114) RD 131 | GP 33

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 69
2023-11-09 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 85 - 59
2023-11-14 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 60 - 70
2023-11-19 vs Brown Bears W 81 - 70
2023-11-23 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 71 - 63
2023-11-24 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 70 - 72
2023-11-29 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 106 - 78
2023-12-02 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 76 - 89
2023-12-10 vs Long Beach State Beach L 79 - 84
2023-12-17 @ Auburn Tigers L 75 - 91
2023-12-19 @ Alabama State Hornets W 79 - 59
2023-12-28 @ Oregon Ducks L 74 - 82
2023-12-30 @ Oregon State Beavers L 70 - 86
2024-01-03 vs California Golden Bears W 82 - 74
2024-01-06 vs Stanford Cardinal W 93 - 79
2024-01-10 vs Washington State Cougars L 64 - 72
2024-01-13 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 58 - 68
2024-01-17 @ Arizona Wildcats L 67 - 82
2024-01-20 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 67 - 82
2024-01-27 vs UCLA Bruins L 50 - 65
2024-02-01 vs Oregon Ducks L 69 - 78
2024-02-03 vs Oregon State Beavers W 82 - 54
2024-02-07 @ California Golden Bears L 77 - 83
2024-02-10 @ Stanford Cardinal L 68 - 99
2024-02-15 vs Utah Utes W 68 - 64
2024-02-17 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 89 - 92
2024-02-24 @ UCLA Bruins W 62 - 56
2024-02-29 @ Washington State Cougars L 72 - 75
2024-03-02 @ Washington Huskies W 82 - 75
2024-03-07 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 81 - 73
2024-03-09 vs Arizona Wildcats W 78 - 65
2024-03-13 @ Washington Huskies W 80 - 74
2024-03-14 @ Arizona Wildcats L 49 - 70

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Ellis B. Ellis - 29 33.7 16.5 3.5 3.0 1.4 0.1 1.8 13.1 9.7 7 27 0.3 0.3 42.7 41.8 72.0 0.58 56.9 54.2
I. Collier I. Collier - 27 29.8 16.3 2.9 4.3 1.5 0.2 3.3 11.6 10.2 35 25 1.4 1.9 49.0 33.8 67.3 1.38 57.5 53.3
Kobe Johnson Kobe Johnson - 31 31.0 10.9 4.6 3.3 2.2 0.8 2.1 10.1 9.5 -19 29 -0.7 -0.9 40.4 31.2 72.6 2.23 49.7 46.8
DJ Rodman DJ Rodman - 32 27.4 8.4 5.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 1.1 6.5 8.3 37 30 1.2 1.8 44.0 36.2 73.8 4.4 56.8 53.1
J. Morgan J. Morgan - 31 20.7 5.7 3.7 1.3 0.4 2.3 1.1 3.9 8.4 17 29 0.6 1.2 55.7 0 61.5 -0.84 58.4 55.7
Vincent Iwuchukwu Vincent Iwuchukwu C 31 15.7 5.5 3.8 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.8 4.0 6.2 -83 29 -2.9 -7.2 50.4 0.0 69.7 -1.92 55.9 50.4
Oziyah Sellers Oziyah Sellers G 33 14.3 5.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 4.2 2.4 -64 30 -2.1 -5.9 46.7 42.9 82.6 -3.18 58.1 55.5
B. James B. James - 25 19.4 4.8 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.1 4.5 5.2 -61 24 -2.5 -5.3 36.6 26.7 67.6 -0.83 47.7 43.8
K. Wright K. Wright - 28 12.0 3.9 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.8 3.9 49 26 1.9 6.2 58.4 0 71.4 4.17 61.6 58.4
Harrison Hornery Harrison Hornery - 26 13.9 3.3 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.5 3.1 3.8 -5 24 -0.2 -0.6 32.5 28.3 80.0 -0.02 47.8 41.9
Arrinten Page Arrinten Page F 27 10.7 3.1 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 2.3 3.0 -42 25 -1.7 -6.4 49.2 31.2 53.1 -2.39 54.5 53.2
Brandon Gardner Brandon Gardner - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.14 100.0 100.0
Tre White Tre White G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Z. Brooker Z. Brooker - 6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 -0.3 0 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.11 0.0 0.0
JD Plough JD Plough - 5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.05 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG