Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +26 (85-59). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wilbon * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kaleb Higgins * | 28 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Tom Mark * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marvin McGhee III * | 21 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Modestas Kancleris * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Naseem Gaskin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Alexander | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ugnius Jarusevicius | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Corey Stephenson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dalph Panopio | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kareem Watson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Collier * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Boogie Ellis * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| DJ Rodman * | 31 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Joshua Morgan * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Hornery * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Oziyah Sellers | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Arrinten Page | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kijani Wright | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Gardner | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| JD Plough | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Brooker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter