Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | -5.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +6 (83-77). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boogie Ellis * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Player #4683774 * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Morgan * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Arrinten Page * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Oziyah Sellers * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kobe Johnson | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Player #4432103 | 30 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Player #4683766 | 27 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Vince Iwuchukwu | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kijani Wright | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Hornery | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fardaws Aimaq * | 43 | 7-25 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 40 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Player #4683747 * | 39 | 10-15 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Keonte Kennedy * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Celestine * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Grant Newell | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Brown Jr. | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gus Larson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter