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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 69.1% 30.9% -
Margin 89.2% 10.8% -11.6 (24.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% -
Log Adjusted 90.6% 9.4% -

Actual: USC Trojans +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson * 33 6-10 4-5 1-2 3 5 1 0 1 17 15 -
C. Love * 32 1-10 0-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 2 -9 -
O. Ballo * 28 6-7 0-0 5-8 10 1 1 2 0 17 24 -
K. Boswell * 27 2-9 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 5 0 -
P. Larsson * 23 2-6 1-5 0-1 3 4 0 0 5 5 1 -
KJ Lewis 21 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Bradley 19 3-9 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
M. Krivas 10 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
C. Martinez 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Borovicanin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Murauskas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Weitman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson * 34 6-9 1-3 6-7 3 4 6 0 3 19 20 -
DJ Rodman * 33 7-8 2-3 3-4 7 1 1 1 0 19 21 -
B. Ellis * 30 1-8 1-5 2-2 2 3 3 0 1 5 4 -
I. Collier * 29 5-13 1-3 5-5 4 5 1 0 4 16 9 -
J. Morgan * 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 6 6 -
B. James 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 1 2 1 1 5 11 -
V. Iwuchukwu 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
K. Wright 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
O. Sellers 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
H. Hornery 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
JD Plough 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Brooker 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter