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2023-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: USC Trojans +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lilly Jr. * 37 10-25 4-13 0-1 1 6 1 0 4 24 3 -
K. Anya * 32 5-7 1-2 2-4 9 1 1 1 1 13 17 -
K. Ferrari * 32 0-5 0-3 0-1 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 -
N. Owusu-Anane * 25 5-9 1-5 2-3 11 2 0 1 0 13 18 -
A. Cooley * 25 1-6 0-4 4-5 4 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
F. Kloman 25 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
L. Lewis 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
M. Ndur 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
L. Erold 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Collier * 34 8-14 3-5 5-8 3 3 0 0 4 24 12 -
B. Ellis * 34 9-17 6-11 4-8 4 4 0 0 3 28 16 -
K. Johnson * 33 4-11 2-5 4-5 4 2 0 0 2 14 7 -
H. Hornery * 26 0-3 0-2 1-2 9 2 0 0 0 1 9 -
J. Morgan * 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 0 2 12 -
V. Iwuchukwu 19 1-5 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
K. Wright 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Page 11 0-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
O. Sellers 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter