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USC

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Also known as: USC Trojans, USC
Program History
Coach: Eric Musselman

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

47.0
PPG
63.0
Opp
-16.0
Margin
34.7%
FG%
42.9%
3P%
53.8%
FT%
29.0
RPG
12.0
APG
18.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
54.0
Adj PPG
55.9
Adj Opp PPG
#201
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 870 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 812 (#295) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 835 (#337) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -1.5 (#189) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -2.4 (#203) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.200 (#294) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.9 More → 0.446 (#179) AdjNet -1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.8 More → 0.448 (#178) AdjNet -1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 55.9 More → 0.456 (#201) AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 55.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.388 (#274) AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.347 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.334 (#261) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 30 More → 798 (#296) RD 143 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 66 - 59
2011-11-14 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 61 - 64
2011-11-17 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 54 - 56
2011-11-19 vs Cal Poly Mustangs L 36 - 42
2011-11-22 vs Morgan State Bears W 65 - 62
2011-11-25 vs UNLV Rebels L 55 - 66
2011-11-26 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 63 - 60
2011-11-30 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 56 - 35
2011-12-03 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 40 - 55
2011-12-10 vs New Mexico Lobos L 41 - 44
2011-12-17 vs Georgia Bulldogs L 59 - 63
2011-12-19 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 83 - 59
2011-12-22 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 47 - 63
2011-12-29 @ California Golden Bears L 49 - 53
2011-12-31 @ Stanford Cardinal L 43 - 51
2012-01-05 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 53 - 62
2012-01-08 vs Arizona Wildcats L 46 - 57
2012-01-15 vs UCLA Bruins L 47 - 66
2012-01-19 @ Oregon Ducks L 62 - 65
2012-01-26 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 50 - 74
2012-01-28 vs Utah Utes W 62 - 45
2012-02-04 @ Washington Huskies L 41 - 69
2012-02-09 vs California Golden Bears L 49 - 75
2012-02-12 vs Stanford Cardinal L 47 - 59
2012-02-15 @ UCLA Bruins L 54 - 64
2012-02-23 @ Arizona Wildcats L 54 - 70
2012-02-25 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 52 - 56
2012-03-01 vs Washington Huskies L 58 - 80
2012-03-03 vs Washington State Cougars L 38 - 43
2012-03-07 @ UCLA Bruins L 40 - 55

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Jones M. Jones G 30 38.2 13.2 2.6 3.5 1.8 0.0 2.2 5.0 14.0 -26 24 -1.1 -1.2 29.3 26.6 65.9 6.18 117.8 35.0
A. Fuller A. Fuller F 18 29.2 10.6 5.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.4 1.7 15.2 10 14 0.7 1.0 56.7 0 61.9 0.69 243.4 56.7
B. Wesley B. Wesley G 30 34.3 9.3 5.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 2.0 4.2 11.0 -94 24 -3.9 -4.9 39.2 50.0 55.6 -1.69 102.3 39.6
D. Dedmon D. Dedmon F 19 22.7 7.6 5.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.4 11.2 -14 15 -0.9 -1.7 48.9 0 52.6 0.68 134.9 48.9
GG Jackson GG Jackson F 30 21.8 6.5 3.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 2.6 7.5 -65 24 -2.7 -5.4 37.7 27.3 85.7 -0.64 117.2 41.6
A. Moore A. Moore G 30 25.0 4.5 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.3 2.2 5.3 -83 24 -3.5 -5.9 29.9 20.0 50.0 -2.7 96.2 35.1
G. Allen G. Allen G 25 20.6 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.7 1.4 5.2 -57 18 -3.2 -6.8 30.6 30.0 100.0 -3.21 139.0 43.1
J. Blasczyk J. Blasczyk C 30 19.0 3.2 3.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 5.2 -62 24 -2.6 -6.0 50.0 0 14.3 -0.22 129.4 50.0
E. Smith E. Smith F 4 11.8 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.2 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 1.27 250.0 0.0
E. Strangis E. Strangis - 22 13.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 -12 20 -0.6 -1.9 25.0 11.1 100.0 -0.58 68.1 28.1
D. Munoz D. Munoz G 10 7.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 6 8 0.8 3.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.73 20.5 0.0
T. Sugiyama T. Sugiyama - 3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Dragovic D. Dragovic - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG