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2011-11-17

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 14.1% 85.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -
Log Adjusted 5.8% 94.2% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (56-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 5 0 5 15 20 -
B. Wesley * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 2 5 -
A. Fuller * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 12 22 -
D. Dedmon * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
E. Strangis * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Moore 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 6 -
G. Jackson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 13 17 -
J. Blasczyk 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 7 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 5 13 -
X. Thames * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 12 17 -
C. Tapley * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 5 10 -
J. Rahon * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 6 8 -
G. Green * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 11 -
J. Franklin 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 14 17 -
D. Stephens 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 2 1 6 18 -
L. Franklin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter