Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | +17.7 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (56-54). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Jones * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Byron Wesley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Fuller * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Eric Strangis * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Moore | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Garrett Jackson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| James Blasczyk | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Shelton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Xavier Thames * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Chase Tapley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| James Rahon * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Garrett Green * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jamaal Franklin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Deshawn Stephens | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| LaBradford Franklin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter