Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✗ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans -6 (36-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fermin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Hanson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| D. U'u * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| W. Taylor * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Love * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Donahue | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Royer | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Eversley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lewis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Odister | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| A. Fuller * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| A. Moore * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Wesley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Dedmon * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| E. Strangis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Jackson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Blasczyk | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter