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2012-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 68.1% 31.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -

Actual: USC Trojans -9 (53-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lockett * 39 7-9 1-1 4-4 9 4 3 0 7 19 19 -
C. Felix * 39 8-12 3-4 3-5 4 0 0 4 1 22 17 -
C. Creekmur * 37 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
J. Gilling * 33 3-6 2-5 4-5 2 4 0 0 3 12 9 -
R. Pateev * 29 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 2 4 -
J. Bachynski 17 1-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Heller 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones * 40 4-11 1-4 4-4 2 4 3 0 1 13 10 -
B. Wesley * 37 5-15 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 10 1 -
A. Moore * 33 2-9 2-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 0 -
A. Fuller * 29 5-9 0-0 4-8 3 0 0 0 2 14 6 -
D. Dedmon * 28 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
G. Jackson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
E. Strangis 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Blasczyk 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter