UMass
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1203 (#219) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1277 (#151) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1021 (#145) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +26.3 (#125) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.9 (#89) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.601 (#98) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.789 (#90) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.767 (#89) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1163 (#79) | RD 112 | GP 33 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Williams
|
G | 33 | 35.3 | 15.5 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 23.9 | 163 | 4.7 | 8.0 | 48.3 | 30.0 | 73.1 | 1.12 | 367.2 | 53.4 |
J. Morgan
|
G | 14 | 28.7 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 15.6 | 116 | 3.3 | 9.6 | 31.0 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 0.52 | 219.2 | 38.1 |
T. Vinson
|
F | 33 | 25.9 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 15.4 | 23 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 79.4 | 0.08 | 322.4 | 54.2 |
F. Riley
|
G | 33 | 28.5 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 10.2 | 17 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 39.3 | 31.8 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 490.6 | 51.8 |
C. Lalanne
|
C | 32 | 22.1 | 8.4 | 7.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 15.8 | 59 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 68.4 | 0 | 54.5 | 0.82 | 564.2 | 68.4 |
R. Putney
|
F | 33 | 22.7 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 11.8 | 28 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 36.7 | 27.8 | 66.7 | 0.52 | 220.9 | 41.8 |
S. Carter
|
F | 33 | 22.7 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 10.2 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 42.4 | 16.7 | 76.9 | 0.06 | 271.2 | 45.5 |
M. Esho
|
F | 33 | 20.6 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11.2 | 50 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 58.3 | 0.45 | 408.4 | 41.2 |
T. Davis
|
G | 31 | 9.8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 4.9 | 16 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 482.5 | 65.0 |
T. Bergantino
|
F | 19 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 300.0 | 50.0 |
I. Freeman
|
- | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG