Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen +10 (76-66). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vee Sanford * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Devon Scott * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Josh Benson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brian Vonderhaar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Freddie Riley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Terrell Vinson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Sampson Carter * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cady Lalanne | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 38 | - |
| Raphiael Putney | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Maxie Esho | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Trey Davis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter