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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 84.7% 15.3% -
Bradley-Terry 71.0% 29.0% -
Margin 70.1% 29.9% -4.7 (14.7 off)

Actual: UMass Minutemen +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Sanford * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 4 0 1 14 24 -
K. Dillard * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 1 2 8 15 -
D. Pierre * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 0 5 16 -
D. Oliver * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
D. Scott * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 -
M. Derenbecker 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 9 9 -
J. Robinson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 10 14 -
J. Benson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 12 15 -
A. Gavrilovic 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
B. Vonderhaar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 1 1 4 9 18 -
F. Riley * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 12 15 -
T. Vinson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 13 19 -
S. Carter * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
C. Lalanne 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 1 0 22 38 -
R. Putney 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 3 10 14 -
M. Esho 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 7 -
T. Davis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 4 -

* = starter