Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Cotton * | 40 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| K. Batts * | 38 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| J. Fortune * | 38 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Henton * | 37 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 3-7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Goldsbrough * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Kofane | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Bancroft | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vinson * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Williams * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| R. Putney * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| F. Riley * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Morgan | 24 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| S. Carter | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Lalanne | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Esho | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Davis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Bergantino | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter