Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts Minutemen | Northeastern Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northeastern Huskies -6 (66-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Williams * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Sampson Carter * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | +3.0 |
| Jesse Morgan * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Raphiael Putney * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Terrell Vinson * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Maxie Esho | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Freddie Riley | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Trey Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Tyler Bergantino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Ford * | 36 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +10.1 |
| Joel Smith * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Demetrius Pollard * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Reggie Spencer * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -15.3 |
| David Walker * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Chris Avenant | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Dinko Marshavelski | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +8.1 |
| Marco Banegas-Flores | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +9.6 |
| Derrico Peck | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter