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UMBC

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UMBC Retrievers
Program History
Coach: Ryan Odom

2019 Team Stats (2 games)

71.0
PPG
71.5
Opp
-0.5
Margin
39.7%
FG%
23.4%
3P%
68.6%
FT%
42.0
RPG
11.5
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.5
Adj PPG
67.3
Adj Opp PPG
#228
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 998 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1055 (#94) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.4 (#229) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -2.9 (#213) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.500 (#179) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.318 (#230) AdjNet -6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.7 More → 0.315 (#231) AdjNet -6.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.415 (#228) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 67.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.483 (#192) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.466 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.479 (#182) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 31 More → 1028 (#153) RD 128 | GP 31

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 42 - 67
2018-11-10 vs Shenandoah Hornets W 93 - 45
2018-11-12 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 75 - 52
2018-11-16 vs Air Force Falcons W 77 - 72
2018-11-17 @ High Point Panthers W 68 - 59
2018-11-19 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 52 - 58
2018-11-24 vs American University Eagles L 69 - 73
2018-11-30 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 60 - 78
2018-12-03 @ Coppin State Eagles W 71 - 60
2018-12-08 @ Drexel Dragons W 91 - 76
2018-12-11 vs Towson Tigers L 76 - 80
2018-12-16 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 53 - 76
2018-12-21 vs Hood Blazers W 86 - 65
2018-12-29 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 52 - 74
2018-12-31 vs Centenary (NJ) Cyclones W 98 - 48
2019-01-05 vs Maine Black Bears W 61 - 52
2019-01-09 @ Hartford Hawks L 64 - 66
2019-01-12 @ UMass Lowell River Hawks L 63 - 74
2019-01-16 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 68 - 49
2019-01-19 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 65 - 64
2019-01-23 @ Vermont Catamounts W 74 - 61
2019-01-26 @ New Hampshire Wildcats W 59 - 51
2019-01-30 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 57 - 49
2019-02-06 vs Hartford Hawks L 61 - 70
2019-02-10 @ Maine Black Bears W 67 - 66
2019-02-13 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 64 - 50
2019-02-16 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 70 - 66
2019-02-21 vs Vermont Catamounts W 65 - 56
2019-02-23 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 75 - 84
2019-02-27 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 63 - 78
2019-03-02 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 56 - 53
2019-03-09 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 62 - 54
2019-03-12 vs Hartford Hawks W 90 - 85
2019-03-16 @ Vermont Catamounts L 49 - 66

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joe Sherburne Joe Sherburne F 28 36.8 13.8 5.5 3.1 0.9 0.1 1.9 3.3 18.2 123 29 4.2 4.9 41.3 35.1 93.8 -0.75 195.4 48.4
K.J. Jackson K.J. Jackson G 28 32.3 12.8 3.7 3.3 2.5 0.4 3.3 4.0 15.4 157 29 5.4 6.9 36.6 23.1 75.0 2.28 134.5 40.6
Brandon Horvath Brandon Horvath F 25 23.3 9.5 4.7 1.0 0.9 0.3 1.2 2.4 12.7 114 25 4.6 8.5 45.8 31.8 52.0 1.62 169.3 51.7
Arkel Lamar Arkel Lamar F 26 29.8 8.8 4.8 1.2 1.3 0.3 1.3 3.5 11.6 67 27 2.5 3.4 42.9 28.3 60.0 -1.52 112.3 50.0
Max Curran Max Curran F 10 21.0 7.9 4.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 2.4 10.4 30 10 3.0 6.2 41.7 25.0 54.5 -1.01 137.0 47.9
Daniel Akin Daniel Akin - 7 26.3 7.4 8.0 0.9 0.7 0.0 2.3 0.7 14.0 - - - - 80.0 0 50.0 - 340.3 80.0
Jose Placer Jose Placer - 3 19.3 6.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 6.0 1.7 -21 28 -0.8 -1.9 44.4 33.3 50.0 -4.98 50.3 50.0
R. Council II R. Council II G 28 15.8 6.1 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.2 6.9 62 28 2.2 6.2 40.0 37.9 66.7 0.62 225.8 55.7
RJ Eytle-Rock RJ Eytle-Rock - 25 24.3 4.7 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 1.1 1.3 7.6 91 25 3.6 5.7 31.2 38.5 76.9 -0.31 155.1 39.1
J. Doles J. Doles - 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Sam Schwietz Sam Schwietz F 27 11.9 2.1 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 5.5 87 27 3.2 10.4 66.7 0 45.5 2.19 205.9 66.7
Jack Schwietz Jack Schwietz G 10 5.5 2.0 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.1 3.2 24 8 3.0 22.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.54 1000.0 0.0
Nolan Gerrity Nolan Gerrity F 15 8.9 1.3 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.1 3.1 -11 18 -0.6 -2.6 50.0 0 50.0 -1.42 347.2 50.0
Josh Rosario Josh Rosario G 17 5.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.2 15 16 0.9 9.1 18.2 0.0 100.0 0.28 63.1 18.2
Isiah Rogers Isiah Rogers G 6 2.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG