Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -8 (51-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sherburne * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| K.J. Jackson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 27 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Sam Schwietz * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Horvath | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| R. Council II | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Reed * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| David Watkins * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Josh Hopkins * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Elijah Jordan * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Chris Lester * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nick Guadarrama | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Marque Maultsby | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Mark Carbone | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Luke Rosinski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Hall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter