Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | South Dakota Coyotes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Dakota Coyotes +6 (58-52). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkel Lamar * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ricky Council II * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K.J. Jackson * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Max Curran * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Horvath | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jose Placer | 22 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Sam Schwietz | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Josh Rosario | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Dakota Coyotes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Burch-Manning * | 38 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Triston Simpson * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Armstrong * | 35 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Peterson * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Matt Johns * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Logan Power | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Stanley Umude | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jay Harvey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter