Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.2 | ✗ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts -13 (61-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.