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Tarleton State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2006
Also known as: Tarleton Texans
Program History
Coach: Billy Gillispie

2021 Team Stats (15 games)

71.1
PPG
63.6
Opp
+7.5
Margin
46.0%
FG%
38.9%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
31.8
RPG
13.4
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#237
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 909 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 892 (#263) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 1003 (#155) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → -5.0 (#234) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → -1.6 (#188) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.322 (#256) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.1 More → 0.284 (#249) AdjNet -8.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.1 More → 0.282 (#248) AdjNet -8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.400 (#237) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.478 (#187) AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.402 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.417 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 168 | GP 15 More → 856 (#268) RD 168 | GP 15

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 vs Dallas Christian Crusaders W 103 - 48
2020-11-28 vs Howard Payne Yellow Jackets - Postponed
2020-12-02 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 66 - 73
2020-12-05 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 48 - 69
2020-12-08 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs - Preview
2020-12-09 vs Arlington Baptist Patriots W 84 - 43
2020-12-13 @ Kansas Jayhawks - Preview
2020-12-15 @ Baylor Bears - Preview
2020-12-16 vs Sul Ross State Lobos - Preview
2020-12-17 vs Howard Payne Yellow Jackets - Preview
2020-12-19 vs McMurry War Hawks - Preview
2020-12-31 vs Paul Quinn Tigers - Preview
2021-01-08 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 72 - 75
2021-01-09 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 48 - 59
2021-01-15 @ California Baptist Lancers L 74 - 83
2021-01-16 @ California Baptist Lancers L 67 - 73
2021-01-17 @ Weber State Wildcats L 79 - 94
2021-01-22 vs Seattle U Redhawks - Preview
2021-01-23 vs Seattle U Redhawks - Preview
2021-01-25 vs Howard Payne Yellow Jackets W 113 - 53
2021-01-29 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 60 - 73
2021-01-30 @ Utah Valley Wolverines W 70 - 62
2021-02-06 vs Southwestern Adventist Knights W 97 - 26
2021-02-09 vs McMurry War Hawks W 112 - 54
2021-02-12 vs Chicago State Cougars - Preview
2021-02-13 vs Chicago State Cougars - Preview
2021-02-19 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers W 77 - 59
2021-02-20 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers L 48 - 64
2021-02-26 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 51 - 78
2021-02-27 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 64 - 55
2021-03-05 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 65 - 47
2021-03-06 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 69 - 58

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Montre' Gipson Montre' Gipson G 19 32.8 15.3 3.8 3.0 1.4 0.0 1.3 7.4 14.9 -16 10 -1.6 -1.9 51.4 53.8 86.7 -1.33 90.7 58.9
Konstantin Dotsenko Konstantin Dotsenko F 17 23.0 10.6 2.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.1 5.9 8.4 -7 9 -0.8 -1.4 42.0 34.0 86.7 0.24 84.4 50.5
Jonathan Jackson Jonathan Jackson F 17 23.2 9.3 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.6 2.1 6.4 6.2 7 9 0.8 1.3 41.7 29.4 74.0 0.86 60.8 44.0
Tahj Small Tahj Small G 17 21.6 9.2 5.8 1.6 1.2 0.2 1.4 4.9 11.8 -35 8 -4.4 -9.4 54.2 50.0 78.3 -3.04 83.8 62.0
Freddy Hicks Freddy Hicks G 20 23.0 8.2 5.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.6 4.5 9.8 -20 10 -2.0 -3.3 36.3 40.9 67.6 -3.03 67.8 41.2
Shakur Daniel Shakur Daniel G 20 32.4 7.0 3.2 2.7 1.6 0.1 1.3 4.8 8.5 19 10 1.9 2.4 43.2 33.3 79.4 2.57 63.2 45.8
Shamir Bogues Shamir Bogues G 19 26.0 6.9 3.3 2.1 1.9 0.5 1.2 4.5 9.1 -11 10 -1.1 -1.7 42.4 29.2 51.9 -1.26 68.1 46.5
Caleb Golden Caleb Golden G 7 12.7 5.3 2.1 1.4 1.4 0.1 0.6 3.9 6.0 10 5 2.0 6.7 40.7 0.0 100.0 0.66 65.3 40.7
Heri Ngalamulume Heri Ngalamulume F 14 11.4 4.5 2.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 2.4 6.1 - - - - 66.7 0.0 66.7 - 79.5 66.7
Caleb Starks Caleb Starks G 8 9.6 3.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.5 4.5 0 5 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.0 85.7 -0.66 99.5 66.7
Sam Sparks Sam Sparks G 3 6.0 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.3 - - - - 75.0 66.7 0 - 125.0 100.0
Joey Madimba Joey Madimba G 12 6.1 3.1 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.4 1.6 3.3 - - - - 52.6 0.0 63.6 -1.52 77.6 52.6
Cadarius Baggett Cadarius Baggett G 9 7.1 2.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 4.3 - - - - 66.7 0 75.0 -1.33 154.6 66.7
Javontae Hopkins Javontae Hopkins G 18 7.2 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 -19 8 -2.4 -22.6 36.8 33.3 55.6 -3.29 91.5 42.1
T. Ford T. Ford G 3 2.7 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 250.0 0.0
Roman Garcia Roman Garcia G 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG