🐻⬇️🏀

Seattle U Redhawks 12-11
@
2021-01-23
Tarleton State Texans 10-10

Model Predictions

Model Seattle U Redhawks Tarleton Sta... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 45.2% (#181) 54.8% (#216) Tarleto... -0.3 70-71
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 44.5% (#250) 55.5% (#263) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 47.4% (#204) 52.6% (#234) Tarleto... -0.6 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 54.2% (#205) 45.8% (#256) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 54.2% (#225) 45.8% (#249) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 53.8% (#227) 46.2% (#248) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 44.9% (#222) 55.1% (#237) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Seattle U Redhawks Tarleton Sta...
Games 23 15
PPG 72.9 71.1
FG% 41.6% 46.0%
3PT% 31.4% 38.9%
FT% 73.3% 73.3%
RPG 33.7 31.8
APG 11.5 13.4
SPG 6.6 9.1
BPG 3.5 2.9
TOPG 10.7 11.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Seattle U Redhawks Tarleton Sta...
Adj. Off Eff 96.9 96.0
Adj. Def Eff 103.1 104.0
Adj. Net Eff -6.1 -8.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Seattle U Redhawks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
R. Grigsby 17.8 5.1 1.1 0.9 0.6 36.7
D. Trammell 20.5 3.8 5.3 2.0 0.3 35.8
A. Nettles 10.1 1.7 2.1 1.2 0.0 32.6
E. Udenyi 7.9 8.0 1.9 0.4 0.3 29.1
K. Williamson 6.1 6.0 0.7 0.6 1.2 28.3

Tarleton State Texans Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Gipson 15.3 3.8 3.0 1.4 0.0 32.8
Shakur Daniel 7.0 3.2 2.7 1.6 0.1 32.4
S. Bogues 6.9 3.3 2.1 1.9 0.5 26.0
Jonathan Jackson Jr. 9.3 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.6 23.2
K. Dotsenko 10.6 2.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 23.0