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Tarleton State Texans 10-10
@
2020-12-13
Kansas Jayhawks 21-9

Model Predictions

Model Tarleton Sta... Kansas Jayhawks Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 3.5% (#216) 96.5% (#9) Kansas Jayhawks -22.1 59-82
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 8.6% (#263) 91.4% (#17) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.8% (#234) 98.2% (#28) Kansas Jayhawks -21.8 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 28.6% (#256) 71.4% (#67) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#249) 99.0% (#24) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#248) 99.0% (#24) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 13.4% (#237) 86.6% (#28) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Tarleton Sta... Kansas Jayhawks
Games 20 28
PPG 73.4 73.8
FG% 46.9% 43.8%
3PT% 37.8% 34.5%
FT% 72.1% 71.0%
RPG 32.0 37.3
APG 14.7 13.8
SPG 10.5 7.2
BPG 2.7 4.0
TOPG 11.6 12.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Tarleton Sta... Kansas Jayhawks
Adj. Off Eff 96.0 110.5
Adj. Def Eff 104.0 89.5
Adj. Net Eff -8.1 21.0

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Tarleton State Texans Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Montre' Gipson 15.3 3.8 3.0 1.4 0.0 32.8
Shakur Daniel 7.0 3.2 2.7 1.6 0.1 32.4
Shamir Bogues 6.9 3.3 2.1 1.9 0.5 26.0
Jonathan Jackson Jr. 9.3 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.6 23.2
Konstantin Dotsenko 10.6 2.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 23.0

Kansas Jayhawks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Ochai Agbaji 14.1 3.7 1.9 1.1 0.5 33.7
Marcus Garrett 11.0 4.6 3.7 1.6 0.3 33.0
Christian Braun 9.7 5.2 1.9 1.2 0.4 31.2
Jalen Wilson 11.8 7.9 2.0 0.4 0.3 28.3
David McCormack 13.4 6.1 1.1 0.7 1.0 23.0