Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | -1.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros -18 (47-65). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakur Daniel * | 37 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Montre' Gipson * | 37 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Shamir Bogues * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Freddy Hicks * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Konstantin Dotsenko * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Jackson Jr. | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Golden | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Joey Madimba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Javontae Hopkins | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cadarius Baggett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tahj Small | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Levi * | 38 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Uche Dibiamaka * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Marek Nelson * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Quinton Johnson II * | 19 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Otchere * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ricky Nelson | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| LaQuan Butler | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Rob McClain Jr. | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Connor Raines | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malik Lawrence-Anderson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Bratton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter