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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2012 Team Stats (5 games)

85.6
PPG
88.6
Opp
-3.0
Margin
43.9%
FG%
39.7%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
35.2
RPG
13.8
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
71.5
Adj Opp PPG
#155
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1079 (#134) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1063 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 978 (#199) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +1.4 (#152) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +0.0 (#169) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.420 (#201) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.573 (#150) AdjNet +2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.575 (#149) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 71.5 More โ†’ 0.524 (#155) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 73.6 More โ†’ 0.473 (#194) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 73.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.540 (#149) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.530 (#153) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1085 (#116) RD 106 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 73 - 72
2011-11-14 vs Austin College Kangaroos W 103 - 45
2011-11-18 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 57 - 55
2011-11-20 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 53 - 66
2011-11-21 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 69 - 80
2011-11-26 @ Houston Cougars W 81 - 80
2011-11-30 vs Lamar Cardinals W 77 - 72
2011-12-03 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 70 - 68
2011-12-06 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 75 - 69
2011-12-10 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 57 - 69
2011-12-19 @ USC Trojans L 59 - 83
2011-12-22 vs Grambling Tigers W 85 - 53
2011-12-31 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 66 - 74
2012-01-04 vs Rice Owls W 78 - 74
2012-01-11 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 88 - 58
2012-01-14 @ Colorado State Rams L 89 - 95
2012-01-18 @ UNLV Rebels L 78 - 101
2012-01-25 vs Air Force Falcons W 59 - 56
2012-01-28 @ New Mexico Lobos L 54 - 71
2012-02-01 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 58 - 52
2012-02-04 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 73 - 83
2012-02-08 @ SMU Mustangs L 62 - 68
2012-02-14 vs UNLV Rebels W 102 - 97
2012-02-18 @ Boise State Broncos L 64 - 65
2012-02-22 @ Air Force Falcons W 65 - 62
2012-02-25 vs New Mexico Lobos W 83 - 64
2012-02-28 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 59 - 71
2012-03-03 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 92 - 98
2012-03-08 @ Colorado State Rams L 60 - 81
2012-03-13 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 83 - 73
2012-03-19 @ Oregon State Beavers L 81 - 101

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hank Thorns Hank Thorns G 31 33.9 13.5 2.8 4.6 1.4 0.0 3.3 3.5 15.5 -83 26 -3.2 -4.0 39.1 45.0 73.5 1.59 166.9 51.4
J.R. Cadot J.R. Cadot G 31 30.2 11.5 7.1 1.3 1.6 0.5 1.5 2.4 18.1 -62 26 -2.4 -3.4 50.0 45.0 75.0 2.15 191.2 56.1
Garlon Green Garlon Green G 31 24.8 10.2 3.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.2 2.4 11.7 -39 26 -1.5 -2.6 45.3 33.3 82.8 0.64 179.5 52.0
Amric Fields Amric Fields F 31 21.4 10.0 2.5 0.8 0.6 0.6 1.2 2.5 10.8 -78 26 -3.0 -6.5 52.6 27.6 74.1 -0.55 172.5 57.7
Kyan Anderson Kyan Anderson G 31 27.3 8.2 1.5 2.6 1.2 0.0 2.0 2.4 9.2 -120 26 -4.6 -7.2 45.3 42.9 85.7 -2.13 146.0 53.3
Craig Williams Craig Williams F 30 17.0 7.6 3.7 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.5 8.5 17 25 0.7 1.7 40.8 29.6 82.6 2.75 132.4 46.1
Adrick McKinney Adrick McKinney F 30 18.3 5.6 4.0 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.6 1.3 8.2 -113 26 -4.3 -11.1 57.5 0 35.3 -3.4 175.9 57.5
N. Butler Lind N. Butler Lind G 31 16.8 2.7 2.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.0 0.5 5.5 -3 26 -0.1 -0.3 41.2 40.0 41.7 0.63 190.8 47.1
Connell Crossland Connell Crossland F 30 11.3 2.3 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 5.3 -20 25 -0.8 -3.0 47.4 40.0 75.0 0.31 166.2 52.6
Jarvis Ray Jarvis Ray G 12 7.4 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.2 2.4 0 7 0.0 0.0 66.7 50.0 0 -0.97 383.3 83.3
Thomas Montigel Thomas Montigel G 5 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -0.01 225.0 125.0
Chris Zurcher Chris Zurcher G 9 2.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 4 5 0.8 32.3 25.0 50.0 0 -0.15 150.0 37.5
Cheick Kone Cheick Kone C 8 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 - - - - 0.0 0 0 0.16 60.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG