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2012-02-08

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thorns * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 4 11 18 -
A. Fields * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 12 15 -
K. Anderson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 3 0 4 8 10 -
J.R. Cadot * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 4 0 1 14 27 -
G. Green * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 13 -
A. McKinney 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
N. Butler Lind 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 3 4 -
C. Crossland 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Samarrippas * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 3 0 4 10 19 -
R. Nyakundi * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 17 22 -
L. Giles * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 0 5 14 21 -
S. Williams * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 8 15 -
J. Jones * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
Player #51293 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 10 14 -
L. Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 10 -
R. Manuel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter