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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.1% 72.9% -
Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Log Adjusted 7.0% 93.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Anderson * 36 6-9 3-4 7-7 3 3 1 0 2 22 18 -
H. Thorns * 34 3-9 3-7 0-0 0 4 2 0 6 9 0 -
G. Green * 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
J.R. Cadot * 25 4-7 3-4 4-5 2 1 1 0 2 15 10 -
C. Williams * 14 1-3 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
A. McKinney 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
A. Fields 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 0 -
N. Butler Lind 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
C. Crossland 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Zurcher 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Kone 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Montigel 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rahon * 34 6-14 4-10 0-0 5 4 2 0 0 16 13 -
J. Franklin * 33 7-11 1-3 9-10 11 1 0 1 2 24 24 -
C. Tapley * 32 5-10 2-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 14 11 -
X. Thames * 30 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 3 -3 -
T. Shelton * 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 4 6 -
D. Stephens 25 6-8 0-0 1-4 6 1 0 0 1 13 11 -
L. Franklin 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Green 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 7 4 -
R. Staten 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Ebrahimian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Castleberry 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Douglas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter